Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 107.683639 119.433240 131.548072 144.945682 159.319357 174.250343 190.905481
2024-10-20 85.904942 102.801306 121.164440 142.486597 166.443719 192.413045 222.572153
2024-10-27 69.974273 90.136235 113.171692 141.142167 173.884517 210.703503 254.930855
2024-11-03 60.649866 83.592142 111.012057 145.631544 187.591216 236.227949 296.266014
2024-11-10 52.566962 77.340707 108.241786 148.684804 199.257463 259.460022 335.541806
2024-11-17 46.333945 72.508794 106.478771 152.407439 211.446363 283.368062 376.098239
2024-11-24 41.550049 68.909559 105.745297 157.032924 224.590153 308.557909 418.694379
2024-12-01 34.219940 60.782551 98.103327 151.823380 224.527573 316.893368 440.304129
2024-12-08 29.019177 55.033987 93.075580 149.522211 227.790856 329.161024 466.792907
2024-12-15 25.616040 51.563083 90.886133 150.803516 235.630204 347.299091 500.960262
2024-12-22 22.939727 48.886928 89.556541 153.061390 244.679452 367.062921 537.483117
2024-12-29 21.434921 47.963702 90.741112 158.903261 258.765057 393.741057 583.493344
2025-01-05 19.446093 46.018583 90.262876 162.365479 269.796520 416.870741 625.759376
2025-01-12 16.761150 42.438601 86.851198 161.145100 273.999470 430.750122 655.956550
2025-01-19 14.527067 39.369061 83.980577 160.514158 278.923139 445.638816 687.738944
2025-01-26 13.531325 38.619879 84.959448 165.946162 292.923573 473.456933 737.630982
2025-02-02 12.366664 37.340635 84.879031 169.600345 304.286779 497.720508 782.996877
2025-02-09 11.410193 36.358772 85.214483 173.873377 316.619424 523.513479 830.805903
2025-02-16 10.659653 35.725661 86.113369 179.069950 330.454985 551.672640 882.310585
2025-02-23 8.727776 31.951539 80.779902 173.388762 327.095120 554.748099 898.516246
2025-03-02 7.395134 29.362105 77.446328 170.884726 328.528226 564.712202 924.480529
2025-03-09 6.593861 28.000153 76.411357 172.317413 336.216373 583.977824 963.929037
2025-03-16 5.967722 26.995837 76.007052 174.818583 345.644470 605.946087 1007.519477